Predicting the 91st Oscars

Tonight, February 24, 2019, the 91st Academy Awards will be given out. Considering that I haven’t seen every one of the nominated movies, I will only give my prediction on a couple of the popular categories.

Here are my predictions for the top 5 categories as well as for Original Score and Song.

Black Panther is nominated for 7 awards, including Best Picture. While I do not think it will win Best Picture, it could very well win in each of the other 6 categories. I do believe it will win for both the Original Score and Original Song.

Spike Jones is nominated for Best Director, his first nomination in this category. I believe he will win.

Regina King will be the winner for Actress in a Supporting Role for her role in If Beale Street Could Talk.

Some times awards are given out to those who have been in the industry for many years. This could be one of those years with Sam Elliott nominated for his role in A Star in Born. Yes, I think he will win.

Everyone is predicting that Glenn Close will win as Best Actress. However my nod this year goes to Melissa McCarthy, mainly because it is so much different than any other role one has seen her do.

Should a Best Actor award goes to someone who has so much make-up on that one doesn’t recognize the Actor? This is the case for both Christian Bale as Vice President Chaney and Rami Malek as Queen’s Freddie Mercury. While both do a good job portraying their respective famous figures, I think it’ll be Bradley Cooper who will win.

For a change a few of the Best Picture nominations were popular to the average film goers. However I think that the winner will be Roma, a Netflix film. Although in my view it shouldn’t have even been allowed to be nominated.

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The full list of nominees:

Best Picture
Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

Bohemian Rhapsody

The Favourite

Green Book

Roma

A Star Is Born

Vice

Actor in a Leading Role
Christian Bale, Vice

Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate

Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

Actress in a Leading Role
Yalitza Aparicio, Roma

Glenn Close, The Wife

Olivia Colman, The Favourite

Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born

Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams, Vice

Marina de Tavira, Roma

Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Emma Stone, The Favourite

Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

Actor in a Supporting Role
Mahershala Ali, Green Book

Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman

Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born

Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Sam Rockwell, Vice

Directing
BlacKkKlansman, Spike Lee

Cold War, Paweł Pawlikowski

The Favourite, Yorgos Lanthimos

Roma, Alfonso Cuarón

Vice, Adam McKay

Adapted Screenplay
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

BlacKkKlansman, Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, and Spike Lee

Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty

If Beale Street Could Talk, Barry Jenkins

A Star Is Born, Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, and Will Fetters

Original Screenplay
The Favourite, Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara

First Reformed, Paul Schrader

Green Book, Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, and Peter Farrelly

Roma, Alfonso Cuarón

Vice, Adam McKay

Foreign Language Film
Capernaum, Lebanon

Cold War, Poland

Never Look Away, Germany

Roma, Mexico

Shoplifters, Japan

Animated Feature
Incredibles 2

Isle of Dogs

Mirai

Ralph Breaks the Internet

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Original Score
Black Panther, Ludwig Goransson

BlacKkKlansman, Terence Blanchard

If Beale Street Could Talk, Nicholas Britell

Isle of Dogs, Alexandre Desplat

Mary Poppins Returns, Marc Shaiman

Original Song
“All the Stars,” Black Panther
Music by Kendrick Lamar, Mark “Sounwave” Spears and Anthony “Top Dawg” Tiffith; Lyric by Kendrick Lamar, SZA and Anthony “Top Dawg” Tiffith

“I’ll Fight,” RBG
Music and Lyric by Diane Warren

“The Place Where Lost Things Go,” Mary Poppins Returns
Music by Marc Shaiman; Lyric by Scott Wittman and Marc Shaiman

“Shallow,” A Star Is Born
Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando and Andrew Wyatt

“When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings,” The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Music and Lyric by Gillian Welch and David Rawlings

Documentary Short
Black Sheep

End Game

Lifeboat

A Night at the Garden

Period. End of Sentence.

Cinematography
Cold War, Lukasz Zal

The Favourite, Robbie Ryan

Never Look Away, Caleb Deschanel

Roma, Alfonso Cuarón

A Star Is Born, Matthew Libatique

Best Documentary Feature
Free Solo

Hale County This Morning, This Evening

Minding the Gap

Of Fathers and Sons

RBG

Production Design
Black Panther

The Favourite

First Man

Mary Poppins Returns

Roma

Sound Mixing
Black Panther

Bohemian Rhapsody

First Man

Roma

A Star Is Born

Costume Design
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Black Panther

The Favourite

Mary Poppins Returns

Mary Queen of Scots

Film Editing
BlacKkKlansman

Bohemian Rhapsody

The Favourite

Green Book

Vice

Sound Editing
Black Panther

Bohemian Rhapsody

First Man

A Quiet Place

Roma

Animated Short Film
Animal Behavior

Bao

Late Afternoon

One Small Step

Weekends

Live Action Short
Detainment

Fauve

Marguerite

Mother

Skin

Makeup and Hairstyling
Border

Mary Queen of Scots

Vice

Visual Effects
Avengers: Infinity War

Christopher Robin

First Man

Ready Player One

Solo: A Star Wars Story

From Julian to Gregorian

By the middle of the 16th century the Calendar used by the Christian Religious leaders, the Julian Calendar designed and adopted during the reign of Julius Ceasar in 45 BC, was off by around 10 days.

This was causing confusion on when Easter, as adopted by the First Council of Nicaea in 325, would be. Pope Gregory decided that calendar reform was needed. The outcome of this reform was our current calendar, also called the Gregorian Calendar.

Part of the reform was to add these 10 days to the calendar. This action was adopted on February 24, 1582. Later in the year on October 5th, five Catholic counties adopted the calendar. The day after October 5th was October 14th in these countries.

When a county added these days to the calendar it caused for these days to be skipped. England, for example, didn’t adopt the Gregorian Calendar until 1754. At that time another day needed to be added to the Calendar. September 2, 1752 was the last day that England observed the Julian Calendar with the next day being September 14th.

Adoption was slow, in fact as late as the 20th Century some countries were still on the Julian Calendar, including Russia, who changed in 1918, Greece in 1923 and Turkey in 1926.

Another change came in what was the beginning of the year. The Julian Calendar called March 1st as the first day of the year, while the Gregorian Calendar it became January 1st.

George Washington

George Washington was the first son of Augustine Washington and his second wife, Mary Ball Washington. He was born on the family’s Pope’s Creek Estate near present-day Colonial Beach in Westmoreland County, Virginia.

When Washington took the oath of office on April 30, 1789 only 11 of the original colonies had ratified the Constitution. While he served as President 5 more states joined the union. North Carolina – November 21, 1789, Rhode Island – May 29, 1790, Vermont – May 4, 1791, Kentucky – June 1, 1792 and Tennessee – June 1, 1796.

Understandingly George Washington appointed more Justices to the Supreme Court than any President. 13 men, 2 did decline, were appointed by Washington.

Washington College, a small Liberal Arts college located in Chestertown Maryland, is the only college that George Washington agreed to allow use of his name. He gave 50 Guineas upon its founding in 1782 and was a member of the Board of Visitors and Governors, the only college board on which he sat.

The Washington Monument in Washington County, Maryland, 4 miles from the town of Boonsboro was first monument to George Washington to be completed. It was completed in 1827 and was formally dedicated on July 4th of that year. The Appalachian Trail passes the base of the monument.

Congressman Henry Lee eulogized Washington with the words; “First in war, first in peace, and first in the hearts of his countrymen, he was second to none in humble and enduring scenes of private life.”

Presidential Births

President’s Day is celebrated in the United States on the 3rd Monday in February. George Washington and Abraham Lincoln, two men considered to be great presidents, was born in this month. Each at one time had the anniversary of their births celebrated as a national holiday before those two holidays were combined into one. They are not the only Presidents who celebrated their birthday in February. Ronald Reagan, February 6, and William Harrison, February 9, were born in this month.

With four presidential births one may think that February could be the month with the most.  It is not. That honor goes to October, which has six. Jimmy Carter – October 1, Rutherford Hayes – October 4, Chester Arthur – October 14, Theodore Roosevelt – October 27 and John Adams – October 30.

Along with February the months of January, March, April and July have had 4 President born in them. November have 4 different days with Presidential births with November 2nd being the only day in the year in which two Presidents were born.  This gives November 5 Presidential birth, the month with the second most.

July 4th, the anniversary of the Declaration of Independence is also the anniversary of the birth of Calvin Coolidge.

When George W. Bush took office in 2001, every one of the months could claim a birth of a President. He was born on June 12. When Donald Trump became President June added another President with his birthday being June 14. September is the only other month with one Presidential birth with William Taft’s being on September 15.

Barack Obama’s birthday is on the 4th of August. August joins November as second with the most presidents born in this month with a total of 5. The others are Benjamin Harrison August 20, 1833, Herbert Hoover August 10, 1874, Lyndon B. Johnson August 27, 1908 and Bill Clinton August 19, 1946.

Abba – Super Trouper

The decade of the 70’s was nearly a year gone when on November 29, 1980 Abba, one of the biggest international pop artist, scored their ninth and last UK No.1 single with ‘Super Trouper’.

While the song and the Album with the same name was a big seller in the UK in the United States the single only managed to reach reached No. 45

It was their 25th Top 40 hit in the UK.

The name “Super Trouper” referred to the gigantic spotlights used in stadium concerts.

John Lennon’s Last Concert Appearance with Elton John

https://youtu.be/rf6sILrY8p4
It was on November 28, 1974 that John Lennon made his last ever concert appearance. Elton John was playing at Madison Square Gardens in New York City. Lennon joined him on stage and performed three songs; ‘Whatever Gets You Thru The Night’, ‘I Saw Her Standing There’ and ‘Lucy In The Sky With Diamonds.’

It was Thanksgiving Day and I’m sure that there were many fans that fondly remember that Thanksgiving Concert.

‘I Saw Her Standing There’ was the B side of Elton John’s hit ‘Philadelphia Freedom’

Stories About Some of Our Favorite Christmas Songs

When should Christmas music be started to played for the Holidays? One thought is after Halloween, another is as soon as the weather starts turning colder (living in Maryland this would be around Mid-October) but for most that time starts just after Thanksgiving.

We all know and love the following songs, but did you know that they also have interesting stories. Here are brief stories about six of our Christmas favorites. Oh, and for me I start playing them anytime after the first of October, sometimes even earlier.

White Christmas
Everyone knows that the song was introduced in the movie Holiday Inn, but many don’t know that it was a song about being stuck in sunny and warm LA and dreaming of a White Christmas. The original first verse is:
The sun is shining
The grass is green
The orange and palm trees sway.
I’ve never seen such a day
In Beverly Hills LA.

But it’s December the 24th
And I am longing to be up North…

This part is rarely performed with the song (The Carpenters version does) and was never recorded by Bing Crosby.

Have Yourself A Very Merry Christmas
This Judy Garland song was written for and first introduced in the movie Meet me In St. Louis. The original intent for the song was to say that by next year things would be brighter. The original lines were;
Have yourself a merry little Christmas
May your heart be light
In a year our troubles will be out of sight

From now on
Have yourself a merry little Christmas
Make the yuletide gay
In a year our troubles will be miles away

At the request of Judy Garland it was changed to:
Have yourself a merry little Christmas.
Let your heart be light,
From now on our troubles
Will be out of sight.

Have yourself a merry little Christmas,
Make the Yule-tide gay,
From now on our troubles
Will be miles away.

Then in 1957 when Frank Sinatra was recording his Christmas Album A Jolly Christmas he requested another change to the lyrics. Later in the song there was the line;
If the Fates allow
Until then, we’ll just have to muddle through somehow
And have ourselves a merry little Christmas now.

Sinatra wanted a more jolly song and asked for this to be changed. It was to:
If the Fates allow,
Hang a shining star
On the highest bough,
And have yourself
A merry little Christmas now.

This sure makes for it to be a merrier, Merry Christmas song.

I’ll Be Home for Christmas
he song was written in 1943 and recorded in that same year by Bing Crosby. Placing it in that time period it’s obvious that the song was about a soldier at war and his Christmas wish. If it wasn’t for White Christmas this would probably be considered Bing’s Christmas song. (Although his version of Silent Night sold more copies) The song remained on the charts for 7 weeks and well pass Christmas.

Silver Bells
The song was written by the prolific movie composers Jay Livingston and Ray Evans for the movie The Lemon Drop Kid, staring Bob Hope. It was originally going to be Tinkle Bells, until Livingston’s wife told him that to millions of american women the word tinkle meant something else and not something that would generally go over good in a Christmas song. The word tinkle was replaced with silver. Now the next time you hear the song replace the word ‘silver’ with ‘tinkle’ and see if it doesn’t seem like a slightly different song.

Frosty the Snowman
Frosty the Snowman was written with one thought in mind. Just before it was written Rudolph the Red-nosed Reindeer had be a huge commercial hit and the team of Jack Nelson and Steve Rollins wanted to write the next ‘Christmas Classic’. By the end of the winter they had put together two holiday songs to pitch to Gene Autry. Autry was sold and recorded Frosty for the next Christmas season.

And, the other Holiday song they pitched. It wasn’t a Christmas song, but the Easter song Here Comes Peter Cotton-tail.

A Christmas Song
In the hot heat in the summer of 1945, Mel Torme visited his friend Bob Wells. Earlier in the day Wells had written phases in a notebook in an effort to stay warm. A couple of these were; “Chestnuts roasting … Jack Frost nipping … Yuletide carols … Folks dressed up like Eskimos.”\

Torme also in an effort to try to cool off, thought that maybe writing a winter song would help. They took these phrases and in 40 minutes much of the music and some of the lyrics of one of the most recorded Christmas song was completed.

JFK Assassination, A Conspiracy?

As the Presidential motorcade of John F. Kennedy passed the Texas School Book Depository Building on November 22, 1963 at 12:30 pm CTS, three shots came from the sixth floor, fatally wounding the President. Kennedy was pronounced dead 30 minutes later at Dallas’ Parkland Hospital.

Fifty-five years later there are still those who feel that the assassination of John F. Kennedy was not the crime of a lone gunman, Lee Harvey Oswald, but was a conspiracy. A conspiracy with Oswald as only one of the participants, even as one of several gunmen.

When I first started looking in the assassination nearly 40 years ago, I had many questions. The stories were out there. And there were doubts in my mind. Enough doubts that when Gerald Ford ran for President in 1976, who was a member of the Warren Commission, was a factor on my decision on who would get my vote. I felt then and still feel now that the report was incomplete.

Was there people who wanted him dead? Sure there was. He was working to bring an end to organized crime, wanted the removal of Fidel Castro from being the leader in Cuba, and he had just a year before stood his ground against the communist Soviet Union.

There’s even the thought that Oswald would have had to be lucky to fire three accurate shots from a bolt action rifle in approximately 8 seconds and there had to be a second gunman. And why two days later, on November 24th, did Jack Ruby murdered Oswald as he was being transferred from City Jail to County Jail. Why would Ruby do that? Luck and chance happens all of the time. Ruby may have just snapped that morning, perhaps due to an expression on Oswald”s face.

Now more than 40 years after I first started researching and reading about the assassination, the theories of conspiracy, my views have changed. At first I was pretty certain that there was a conspiracy and that even if Oswald had acted alone, others were involved. Today I believe that Oswald did act alone and he was the lone gunman and that several strange and unusual factors came together to make the impossible possible.

The Plymouth Pilgrims

"The Landing of the Pilgrims" (1877) by Henry A. Bacon
“The Landing of the Pilgrims” (1877) by Henry A. Bacon
During the first part of the 17th Century a group called the Separatists felt a need for a complete separation from the Church of England. They wanted to worship in a very simple manner without all of the ritual and symbols which were used in the Anglican Church. This group first went to Amsterdam and then in 1609 to Leiden, Holland. By the end of 1619 the Leiden Separatists asked King James for a Royal Charter, which would allow them to establish a colony in the New World. Although James refused to give them a Charter, he promised that he would not try to stop them from settling abroad.

It was originally intended for the entire Leiden congregation to move to America, but they decided to send only sixty or seventy of their most able members to establish the community with the others to follow at a later date.

Before leaving England, the Separatist leaders went to talk with Captain John Smith, who had been to the New World and had made some extensive surveys of the New England area. Captain Smith would have been willing to sail with them on the Mayflower as an adviser. However, the Pilgrim Fathers did not have the money to pay for his service. Instead, they purchased his book, which included a detailed map of the New England region.

The Mayflower made her final departure from Plymouth, England, on September 16, 1620, with 102 passengers aboard and a crew of about 30. Of this number only 41 were members of the Leiden church. The remainder of the passengers were hired men, paid servants, or “strangers” who wanted to make a new life in America.

The sea voyage lasted about two months before the Pilgrims arrived at Cape Cod. For the next few weeks they explored the area as well as creating the Mayflower Compact. The Compact was an agreement signed by all the men on board agreeing to abide by laws that would be drawn up and agreed upon by all male members of the community.

The Pilgrims landed at Plymouth Rock on December 31, 1620. Of those who left England only 53 people were alive to celebrate the first “Thanksgiving”. Even though none of the women would die during the voyage to the New World only 4 of the 18 women survived into the first summer.